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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$257K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$143
58 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.52M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
97%
5 more
$727K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
150-174
33%
<150
22%
3 more
$96K
Vol.
Jul 12
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
57 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$119K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
43 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
20-40
61%
0-20
19%
3 more
$56K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
49 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
47%
September
22%
5 more
NEW
$1.2K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
30 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
23%
chance
Yes
No
NEW
$340.86
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
34 trading now
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